Royal Ascot 2014 – Day 3

Norfolk Stakes (2.30) – The Great War has been deeply impressive on both outings and does look a very exciting prospect but whether he should be so short is very debateable and he is taken on with Mukhamal, who has looked well upto group standard in two impressive wins so far. An easy winner on debut, he stepped well up in class when landing the Lily Agnes Stakes at Chester last time, a performance that was far more impressive than the bare form as he went widest of all at the start before eventually making the leading, sustaining a hot pace, and then keeping clear of Roudee, who has since finished third in the National Stakes (the form of which now looks solid) and seventh in the Windsor Castle. Mukhamal was giving 6lbs to the runner up that day and more to those in behind, so the form looks very solid and he is well capable of being in the shakeup here.

 

Baitha Alaga drew away from the Woodcote field nicely, when he was more was more impressive as the race went on, and has a fine each/way chance for those looking outside the front two. To Be Determined is respected, but faded off a strong early pace first time out at Chruchill Downs, while Mind of Madness could be better than his Windsor Castle run suggests but still has something to prove after that and his second win against Adaay was let down on Tuesday. Ahlan Emarati is the interesting one of the outsiders, having been very strong in the finish when landing a Bath maiden, although that form hasn’t worked out so far. Snap Shots has to answer a question about the ground but did look tidy on debut.

 

 

Advice: 2 pts win Mukhmal insurebet 2 places (3/1 Paddy Power), 2 pts Mukhmal without The Great War and Baitha Alga (11/10 Bet365)

 

 

 

Tercentenary Stakes (3.05) – Tricker than it would look on the face of the market, with Cannock Chase well liked but some interesting prices dangled about some nice sorts. It’s hard to get away from the Stoute runner, who was so impressive when beating Windshear last time, but the FIleden Stakes that True Story hacked up in provides a fascinating backdrop to this event and it’s hard to split a few from those. Olbiterator was second from that day and can be forgiven his run in the Irish Guineas (the ground did for him), but Barley Mow didn’t show his best and bounced back to beat Mutakaayef in the Newmarket Stakes over a furlong longer next time out. He was beaten in the Cocked Hat, but the ground and trip may have just beaten him there and today’s drop in trip and faster ground should suit better. He can maintain the form and has a fine each/way chance with the favourite too short.

 

 

Advice: 1 pt each/way Barley Mow (8/1 Bet365)

 

 

Ribblesdale (3.45) – This is competitive and will take some winning but the fact that Vazira is sent here looks to be a sign and the French raider lost nothing in defeat when second in the Prix Saint Alary last time. She was well beaten by We Are, but time may prove that to be a good result and before she’d looked as if stepping up in trip may be the trick for her when idling before getting the job done in the Vanetux last time. The ground is a question for her but going up in trip may negate that and big run is expected. Inchila on form purely shouldn’t be 6/1, although it remains to be seen if she can repeat her Oaks effort just 2 weeks after Epsom. Bright Approach should enjoy this trip and was in season when third in the Cheshire Oaks, while Wonderstuck will have more to give, but to see Bracelet here is very exciting and another chance is given to her following the 1,000 Guineas. Fancied that day, she could never get into things following a slow gallop that suited those racing prominently and previously had closed to the line in the style of a stayer when landing the 1,000 Guineas trial on her debut. The form of that race has worked out well for the level, and while it was disappointing not to see her in the Oaks, missing that race may be proven worthwhile here.

 

 

Advice: 1 pt win Vazira (3/1 general), 1 pt each/way Bracelet (11/1 general)

 

 

Britaania (5.00) – Zarwaan can go close here. Having on a maiden in good style last year, he was unable to give weight to Murwaary (ahead of Horse De Combat, who beat Born in Bombay latest and Lyn Valley in a good handicap at Newmarket) but he has since proven to be a group horse and when behind Chatez in the Silver Bowl, he made up a lot of ground to finish second that day, and looks capable of reversing the form on a sounder surface with a better ride today. If he performs as he has this season, he makes a lot of appeal at 12’s with Paddy Power, who pay each/way on the first six places.  Any amount can go well, but our second horse will be the interesting Third Dimension, who trashed Table Rock when last seen and is just now living upto the potential that his yard saw in him last year.

 

 

Advice: 1 pt each/way  Zarwaan (12/1 Paddy Power), Third Dimension (14/1 Paddy Power)

 

 

King George V Stakes (5.35) – The draw is a horror show for Windshear but other than that he holds fine claims and a chance is taken on him proving too good. He had Elite Army well behind over 10 furlongs earlier in the season and his second to Cloudscape, along with a second to Cannock Chase, also looks to be amongst the best in the field and he can go well if finding a spot. Elite Army is a worthy favourite but Personal Opinion might be best of the Godolphin charges, having been switched before almost beating the progressive Arab Dawn at Newbury.

 

 

Advice: 1 pt each/way Windshear (8/1 Bet365)

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