Goodwood Stakes (Handicap) (1.55) – Following Mark Johnson is a rule to be obeyed in Glorious Goodwood’s big handicaps – see the result of the first yesterday – and the man who has won today’s contest for the last two years running has a fine chance with Maid In Rio.
The progressive 3yo has won 4 of her last 6, rising in the handicap from 65 to 96, and in none of those wins has she been more impressive than at Ascot last time when dismantling of older horses by 9 lengths over 2 miles last time, and it’s understandable to see her as short as 8/11 given that she is well in to the tune of 10lbs for a hat-trick bid. This leaves value elsewhere in the race however, with the ever-present Lieutenant Miller making each/way appeal.
Nick Henderson’s eight year old is a fixture in these staying events, having been third in the Ascot Stakes last year, then second in this, and third in the Cambridgeshire, and he made a solid reappearance when seventh, having not had the clearest of runs, in that contest again this season on his seasonal reappearance. Is also transpired that he had ripped off a show in that race and from an early stage he’d also had the worst of the draw that day which wouldn’t have helped even over that trip.
Another interesting type is Ray Ward, who hasn’t shown much for a long time but shaped well at Ascot when not getting much of a run when sixth – and crucially he’s one of few that is guaranteed to stay and enjoy the extra distance, even if that is just based on visual impression so far. Brockwell was given too much to do when fith in this last year and George baker could be a perfect match for a horse that’s now 7lbs lower, albeit thanks to some rather disconcerting efforts.
Solar View and Longshadow are two that also make some appeal, with this extreme trip likely to be well up their street, but the Henderson charge can go two better than last year.
Advice: 1 pt each/way Lieutenant Miller (9/1 general)
EBF Stallions Breeding Winners Fillies’ Handicap (4.50) – Three year olds have taken eight of the last 10 runnings of this race and there are no shortage of progressive and unexposed horses to consider here. To cut to the chase, the one that makes most appeal for me is Palerma, who shaped very much as if an extra furlong would bring out yet more improvement in her when winning at Salisbury and who also has a very decent draw in 4 given the large 16 runner field. She is top of the list over Hedge End, who must be respected given the record of the stable in this since 2000 – 124600206013 – and the fact she’s the only runner today. This is a step up but she has not had things drop her way in two previous runs here and has also handled a bad draw to run well here in June. Roger Charlton’s well related Hiking also deserves plenty of respect, having won three of he 5 starts and shaping as if this trip would help her greatly.
Advice: 1 pt each/way Palerma (9/1 general)