Today’s Racing (UK) – Saturday the 4th October 2014

Ascot

 

Albert Bartlett Stakes (Registered As The Rous Stakes) (Listed) (Class 1) (3YO plus) (2.05) – The very fact that Muthmir had been as short as 5-1 for the Abbaye on Sunday tells you all about how good he has already proved himself and he should take the beating in this Listed contest. A horse who has been highly rated since the start of the season – he has gone off favourite in all his starts so far – he showed a blistering turn of foot to land the SkyBet Dash at York in brilliant style, barely coming off the bridle to turn a competitive handicap into a procession. He was then backed into just 5/2 for the stewards Cup, but a week’s turnaround and mitigating circumstances saw him finish only fifth there; He stumbled at the start (again) of the Portland at Doncaster, but broke the track record carrying 9-7, the performance of a Group horse in a handicap. He would have a realistic chance in the Abbaye on that form but Haggas can reap the reward of sticking to his original target of this race and the drop back half a furlong should not be a problem for one with such a powerful late burst over a track with a stiff ending like ascot.

 

 

Advice: 4 pts win Muthmir (11/8 Paddy Power)

 

 

John Guest Bengough Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3YO plus) (3.15) – A cracking Group 3 with sprinters we should expect to see next year. Danzeno made every effort to lose his handicap at Doncaster last time – and he did – but racing on much better terms – to the tune of 4lbs – with his conqueror Badr Al Badoor should see him reverse the form and this talented young sprinter can improve again to take a big hand here. His group 3 win back in the summer was impressive and after just a handful of starts – he’s had only 7 appearances – it’s to be hoped that he can stay in a straight line and if so, he will take the beating.

 

 

Tropics should go well to retaining his title, having run with big credit at the highest level this year when second in the July Cup before landing a good listed contest, although it will be interesting to see if he can confirm that form with Reckless Abandon, who was just third on his return (having been infertile at stud) behind him at Newmarket. Charlie Appleby’s charge backed that up with a good second to the extremely progressive Mecca’s Angel next time over 5 furlongs and should be happier over this trip, so can go close to reversing that form. Louis The Pious’s Ayr Gold Cup win entitles him to considerable respect here, as does Intibaah’s one and only impressive win this season, but Lightning Moon may be the one to go closer to causing a small upset based on two promising wins.

 

 

 

Advice: 1 pt each/way Danzeno (8/1 Paddy Power)

 

 

 

 

 

Totepool Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) (3YO plus) (3.50) – Many can contend here so this will be short and succinct. American Hope had nothing go right for him at Goodwood last time (including a very poor draw) and hasn’t had much go right for him this season but if he gets a fair crack of the whip then not much should prevent him from going close and his form has been franked time and time again. Next best could be Blaine, who has been on a steady rise this season – but over 6 furlongs. If he takes that form over the extra furlong then he can go well, and Chil The Kite looks to have been given a fine chance by the handicapper – he’s only 2lbs higher than for his Hunt Cup win after two tries in Group 2 company.

 

 

Advice: 1 pt each/way American Hope (7/1 general), Chil The Kite (16/1 Boylesports)

 

 

Totepool EBF Stallions October Stakes (Fillies’ Listed) (Class 1) (3YO plus) (4.25) –Al Thakira can win her first race of the season. Marco Botti’s charge has not had the 3 year old season one would’ve hoped but was overmatched in the French and Irish Guineas on both occasions and has finished second in the Fred Darling and third in a strong Sceptre Stakes.

 

 

 

Advice: 1 pt win Al Thakira.

 

Newmarket

 

300,000 Tattersalls Millions 2YO Fillies’ Trophy (Class 2) (2YO only) (1.50) – Goldolphin’s Very Special could be just that, having stormed home on her debut at Yarmouth despite stumbling at the start, but she will have to be just as useful as she looked there to beat Osaila, who takes a steep drop down in grade from the Moyglare Stakes here. Fifth in the Albany on just her second start, she won the Princess Marget Stakes in convincing style at Ascot and either that run or her Moygare fourth stands up very well to scrutiny. Of the four horses ahead of her, three are Group winners (including the taken out at the entry stage Malabar), and she sets a high standard.

 

 

Advice: 2 pts win Osalia.

 

500,000 Tattersalls Millions 2YO Trophy (Class 2) (2YO only) (2.20) – The Hannons could take this again with Misterioso. Only fourth in the Royal Lodge last time out, that he was sent there was a show of faith in him after an impressive (albeit he was landing odds of 4/9) Sailsbury win. He can go well, back down to this trip after being given an easy time at the end of the Royal Lodge. anaaf’s encouraging first time out win over C&D marks him down as a horse that deserves respect, Secret Brief landed a similar contest here over a trip probably too short for him last year and must be on the premises again. The Warrior deserves significant respect having been sent over by Ballydoyle but none of his maidens have amounted to much and he hasn’t looked a winner in waiting on either of those starts.

 

 

Advice: 1 pt win Misterioso.

 

Kingdom Of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (Fillies’ Group 1) (Class 1) (3YO plus) (3.30) – Andre Fabre’s three pronged attack will surely go close but he may find that Integral keeps the prize at home. Second to Sky Lantern last year, she has progressed into a much stronger filly this season and was not at all suited by the crawl that the Prix Rotschild developed into when Estorique and Miss France finished ahead of her. However that day she also came home with a bruised foot, so that run can be easily written off and backed on her Royal Ascot and Falmouth Stakes wins, she should be upto putting a much bolder showing today. Fintry is favourite after her impressive win at Sandown from an absences since impressively landing the Prix Sandringham in the summer, and she should take the beating, although this is her toughest test of the season by a good distance against two of her most formidable stamblemates. Estorique took advantage of the farcical gallop to land the Rotschild at Deauville from Miss France and both of them are likely to take a serious hand – Sky Lantern shouldn’t be discounted either.

 

 

Advice: 1 pts win Integral (10/3 general)

 

Redcar

 

Totepool Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed) (Class 1) (2YO only) Henry Candy has awaited a long time to release Limato again but he should be too goo d for this field. He was forced to miss the Gimcrack thanks to a bad scope and then the ground took him out of the Mill Reef, but if fit and well he should take the beating. His defeat of Cotai Glory looks impressive at the time, but has since been boosted by that one’s Molecomb win and Flying Childers miss when unseating George Baker cost him the race yards from the line. For an each/way alternative, the weights may have been kind to Mattmut, third in a Sales race last time, or Mind of Madness, second in the Harry Roserby Stakes at Ayr last time.

 

 

Advice: 2 pts win Limato (2/1 Bet365)

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