Finding the winner of the Golden Boot in the Premier League is not an easy task, but there does seem to be a formula; Back a striker, preferably a penalty taker, who plays for one of the top six clubs in the country. That would have provided you the three joint winners and the fourth place last year and all of them bar Sadio Mane would have been findable prices.
Pierre Emerick-Aubmeyang was one of those three who shared the Golden Boot with 22 goals, and that was an even more impressive effort given it was his first first full season.
Arsenal’s defensive woes are well known but they scored 73 goals and Aubameyang missed the most big chances last season too. He’ll get plenty of chances this season with Nicolas Pepe also in the attacking line at Arsenal and he’s also on penalties too. Jamie Vardy scored 18 goals last season despite Claude Puel’s style of football not quite suiting him but under Brendan Rodgers he should thrive – he scored 10 goals after Puel had gone. That was the highest tally of any player outside of the Big Six and Leicester are at the very least fancied to go well this season.
This is taking a chance, but Anthony Martial did very well to score 10 goals in what was an incredibly unstable season last year. The Frenchman made just 18 appearances last season, half of them when stifled under Jose Mourinho when the club’s senior players were at war with the former boss. His fortunes, much like the other attacking players there, instantly lifted and if United are going to successes under Solskajker then he will have a big part to play. He has been out wide but can also play through the middle and if United find the attacking form that a side aiming for the top six should do then he can outrun his price.
Liverpool had Mohamed Salah and Sadio Mane share the spoils last season and of those two, Mane would make more appeal. He jumped from 13 goals to 22 last year, but scoring has always come naturally to him and assuming he can get another full season there’s little to stop him going close. Manchester City’s forwards could take goals from eachother, with Sergio Aguero scoring 21 and placing last year whilst Raheem Sterling scored 17. Tottenham’s Harry Kane will be at the 20 goal mark, but that’s factored into the price.
2.5 pts each/way Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (8/1 Bet365)
1 pt each/way Sadio Mane (14/1 general)
1 pt each/way Jamie Vardy (20/1 general)
1 pt each/way Anthony Martial (80/1 Sportingbet)