Here’s a quick season preview on the Bundesliga as I get back into the thick of things after a holiday. Some value here if you’re quick:
Champions: Borussia Dortmund were nine points clear of Bayern Munich in January before they ran out of steam but they’ve actually strengthened rather well over the summer and are surely the value in a nine-month race. Nico Schulz is a significant upgrade at left-back and Mats Hummels return gives them a top class defender, the sort invaluable in a league such as the Bundesliga. Thorgan is the lesser-known Hazard but ten goals and ten assists at Mochengladbach was a fine season and he adds something going forward and Julian Brandt adds plenty of squad depth too. Upfront, we know all about Jadon Sancho, who produced 12 goals and 14 assists in the league last season, Marco Reus (17 goals and 8 assists) and Paco Alacer, who scored 18 goals off the bench last season but who will start more games this season. Bayern have added too – Benjamin Pavard and Lucas Hernandez are two fine additions – but they are 1/3 and some still doubt Nico Kovac in the dugout.
Advice: 2 pts Borussia Dortmund (4/1 general)
Top 4: There’s a rick here with Red Bull Leipzig 8/11 with Bet365. They were 10 points clear of Leverkusen when they finished third last season and now they have new coach Julian Nagelsmann, who took over a Hoffenheim team that was spiralling towards relegation and then got them into the Champions League twice. Naglesmann has plenty to work with, including the fearsome strike pairing of Timo Werner and Yussuf Poulsen. Naglesmann’s experience of the Champions League should also help Leipzig balance the two.
Advice: 5 pts Red Bull Leipzig (8/11 Bet365)
Relegation: Paderborn and Union Berlin are short prices having just come up but Augsburg were fourth from bottom last season and could be set to struggle again.
Advice: 2 pts Augsburg (2/1 Bet365, SkyBet)
Top Goalscorer: Paco Alcácer scored 18 goals last season despite playing more than 1000 minutes less than Robert Lewandowski (22 goals) and Marco Reus (17). His minutes per goal average was 67, by some distance the best in the division, and it looks likely he will start more games this season. Reus placed last season and might be too big again at 20/1 for a place.
Advice: 1 pt each/way Paco Alcáer (10/1 general), 1 pt each/way Marco Reus (20/1 general)