The Rugby World Cup offers a host of betting opportunities and one of the very best markets for value seekers is the top tryscorer betting. With 8/1 the field and four places, even market leaders can give one a thrilling run for their money and there’s plenty of massive prices as well, even from the top nations.
A look at the three most recent editions of The Rugby World Cup tell us two things about the top tryscorer. Firstly, that they usually reach the semi-finals or better. Secondly, that they’re wingers.
Now we can’t let that limit out betting viewpoint totally, but it is a good place to start, and given that we like South Africa – the second favourites – it’s surely wise to look towards them. Cheslin Kolbe is the pocket rocket who has taken the Springbok jersey by storm, and despite his diminutive size, the wing has the ability to step any defender on the planet. He is another player who has thrived for the presence of Rassie Eurasmus, with his numbers since the new coach joined reading as well as any of the Springbok side with fve tries in six starts (10 games in total) for South Africa since making his international debut against Australia in September.
There’s a risk he may be rested for the game against Namibia and also maybe Canada, but if he can get on the scoresheet against Italy then he will be one of the toughest players to handle in the knockout stages too and Julian Savea managed to win this in the knockouts four years ago.
New Zealand provided the 1-2 in 2015 and look to be the obvious place to start. Much of the attention will be on Rieko Ioane and George Bridge, the Barrett Brothers – excluding Scott – are also of interest. The decision to move Beauden Barrett to full-back is one of the most fascinating tactical manoeuvres of the whole tournament and it could reap big rewards for the fly half. Barrett used to have the number 10 jersey nailed down before the emergence of Crusaders’ flyhalf Richie Mo’unga, but when he was playing at fly-half he was already known for a rapid turn of foot and clinical finishing ability – he scored nine tries for the Hurricanes in the 2016 Super Rugby Championship, then 4 in 2017 and six in 2018 – and he has 33 international tries already, including 3 in the last World Cup.
He’s scored twice in the last two Rugby Championships and now he’s playing in what many would consider to be the World’s best back three, he could get even more chances at the tryline. The fact he can kick and play flyhalf means that he may well get gametime against Canada, Nambia and Italy, which means he could get many chances for a lucrative haul in the group stages, and New Zealand have made the last two finals, so seven games is a possibility for him
Brother Jordie Barrett is a later entrant, but he has broken through impressively, with 12 caps and eight starts for the All Blacks. He’s has bagged eight tries in that run of games including a crucial try in the last Lions test and also a four-try haul in last November’s Test against Italy. The All Blacks will play them again in the pool and he could well be given his chance against Namibia and Canada, which would surely lead to plenty of chances on the wing.
2.5 pts each/way Cheslin Kolbe (14/1 general)
1 pt each/way Beauden Barrett (25/1 BetVictor, Betfred)
1 pt each/way Jordie Barrett (40/1 Betway)